понедельник, 4 августа 2008 г.

COMMON CHART PATTERNS

COMMON CHART PATTERNS

The trading technique being presented here uses a proprietary TradeStation toolset, but since it is still a discretionary trading method, why not adding some visual interpretation to it?

PATTERN TYPES:
Wedges:

The wedge formation is also similar to a symmetrical triangle in appearance, in that they have converging trend lines that come together at an apex. However, wedges are distinguished by a noticeable slant, either to the upside or to the downside. (As with triangles, volume should diminish during its formation and increase on its resolve.).
A falling wedge is generally considered bullish and is usually found in up trends. But they can also be found in downtrends as well. The implication however is still generally bullish. This pattern is marked by a series of lower tops and lower bottoms.
A rising wedge is generally considered bearish and is usually found in downtrends. They can be found in up trends too, but would still generally be regarded as bearish. Rising wedges put in a series of higher tops and higher bottoms.

Price Structure Pattern Structure Result
Falling Wedge in Uptrend H, L, LH, LL, LH, LL Breakout to the Upside
Falling Wedge in Downtrend L, H, LL, LH, LL Breakout to the Upside
Rising Wedge in Uptrend H, L, HH, HL, HH Breakout to the Downside
Rising Wedge in Downtrend L, H, HL, HH, HL, HH Breakout to the Downside

Symmetrical Triangles:

Symmetrical triangles can be characterized as areas of indecision. A market pauses and future direction is questioned. Typically, the forces of supply and demand at that moment are considered nearly equal. Attempts to push higher are quickly met by selling, while dips are seen as bargains. Each new lower top and higher bottom becomes more shallow than the last, taking on the shape of a sideways triangle. (It's interesting to note that there is a tendency for volume to diminish during this period.) Eventually, this indecision is met with resolve and usually explodes out of this formation (often on heavy volume.) Research has shown that symmetrical triangles overwhelmingly resolve themselves in the direction of the trend. With this in mind, symmetrical triangles in my opinion, are great patterns to use and should be traded as continuation patterns.

Price Structure Pattern Structure Result
Symmetrical Triangle in Uptrend H, L, LH, LL Breakout to the Upside
Symmetrical Triangle in Downtrend L, H, LL, LH Breakout to the Downside

Ascending Triangles:

The ascending triangle is a variation of the symmetrical triangle. Ascending triangles are generally considered bullish and are most reliable when found in an uptrend. The top part of the triangle appears flat, while the bottom part of the triangle has an upward slant. In ascending triangles, the market becomes overbought and prices are turned back. Buying then re-enters the market and prices soon reach their old highs, where they are once again turned back. Buying then resurfaces, although at a higher level than before. Prices eventually break through the old highs and are propelled even higher as new buying comes in. (As in the case of the symmetrical triangle, the breakout is generally accompanied by a marked increase in volume.)

Price Structure Pattern Structure Result
Ascending Triangle in Uptrend H, L, H, HL Breakout to the Upside

Descending Triangles:


The descending triangle, also a variation of the symmetrical triangle, is generally considered to be bearish and is usually found in downtrends. Unlike the ascending triangle, this time the bottom part of the triangle appears flat. The top part of the triangle has a downward slant. Prices drop to a point where they are oversold. Tentative buying comes in at the lows, and prices perk up. The higher price however attracts more sellers and prices re-test the old lows. Buyers then once again tentatively re-enter the market. The better prices though, once again attract even more selling. Sellers are now in control and push through the old lows of this pattern, while the previous buyers rush to dump their positions. (And like the symmetrical triangle and the ascending triangle, volume tends to diminish during the formation of the pattern with an increase in volume on its resolve.)

Price Structure Pattern Structure Result
Descending Triangle in Uptrend L, H, L, LH Breakout to the Downside

Flags and Pennants:

Flags and pennants can be categorized as continuation patterns. They usually represent only brief pauses in a dynamic market. They are typically seen right after a big, quick move. The market then usually takes off again in the same direction. Research has shown that these patterns are some of the most reliable continuation patterns.
Bullish flags are characterized by lower tops and lower bottoms, with the pattern slanting against the trend. But unlike wedges, their trend lines run parallel.
Bearish flags are comprised of higher tops and higher bottoms. "Bear" flags also have a tendency to slope against the trend. Their trend lines run parallel as well.
Pennants look very much like symmetrical triangles but are typically smaller in size (volatility) and duration.
(Volume generally contracts during the pause with an increase on the breakout.)

Rectangles:

Rectangles should generally be traded as continuation patterns. They are indecision areas that are usually resolved in the direction of the trend. Research has shown that this is true far more often than not. Of course, the trendlines run parallel in a rectangle. Supply and demand seems evenly balanced at the moment. Buyers and sellers also seem equally matched. The same 'highs' are constantly tested as are the same 'lows'. The market vacillates between two clearly set parameters. (While volume doesn't seem to suffer like it does in other patterns, there usually is a lessening of activity within the pattern. But like the others, volume should noticeably increase on the breakout.)

Head and Shoulders:

The head and shoulders pattern is generally regarded as a reversal pattern and it is most often seen in uptrends. It is also most reliable when found in an uptrend as well. Eventually, the market begins to slow down and the forces of supply and demand are generally considered in balance. Sellers come in at the highs (left shoulder) and the downside is probed (beginning neckline.) Buyers soon return to the market and ultimately push through to new highs (head.) However, the new highs are quickly turned back and the downside is tested again (continuing neckline.) Tentative buying re-emerges and the market rallies once more, but fails to take out the previous high. (This last top is considered the right shoulder.) Buying dries up and the market tests the downside yet again. Your trendline for this pattern should be drawn from the beginning neckline to the continuing neckline. (Volume has a greater importance in the head and shoulders pattern in comparison to other patterns. Volume generally follows the price higher on the left shoulder. However, the head is formed on diminished volume indicating the buyers aren't as aggressive as they once were. And on the last rallying attempt-the left shoulder-volume is even lighter than on the head, signalling that the buyers may have exhausted themselves.) New selling comes in and previous buyers get out. The pattern is complete when the market breaks the neckline. (Volume should increase on the breakout.)

Inverted Head and Shoulders:

The head and shoulders pattern can sometimes be inverted. The inverted head and shoulders is typically seen in downtrends. (What's noteworthy about the inverted head and shoulders is the volume aspect. The inverted left shoulder should be accompanied by an increase in volume. The inverted head should be made on lighter volume. The rally from the head however, should show greater volume than the rally from the left shoulder. Ultimately, the inverted right shoulder should register the lightest volume of all. When the market then rallies through the neckline, a big increase in volume should be seen.)

How Do I subscribe to AlphaBeta Fund signals?

How Do I subscribe to AlphaBeta Fund signals?

You can download signals brochure in PDF format @ http://rapidshare.de/files/40148675/alfabetafund.pdf.html

You can also get access to more info via the blogsite @ http://alphabetafund.blogspot.com/

Quick FAQ for trading signals @ Coll2.com http://alphabetafund.blogspot.com/2008/06/faq-on-trading-signals-via.html

To subscribe you need to proceed to http://www.collective2.com/go/alphabetafund

And at the top of the page click SUBSCRIBE button, you have to register at Collective2.com and make a payment and you will receive all the latest signals via email / you can also get access to all the latest signals via Coll2.com IM window.

Once you register and become a subscriber you will receive biweekly report covering FX majors / Spot Gold / Crude Oil.

You will also receive weekly/monthly Neural Network BUY/SELL levels for all FX currency pairs.

Finally, once you become a subscriber, you get access to subscribers-only FAQ, which you can download @

http://rapidshare.com/files/128931242/alpha-beta-FAQ-july-11th.rar.html (password-protected).

I will send you a password, once you subscribe.

Hope that helps and feel free to contact me should you have any other questions,

kind regards, rufffen

PS: contact me via email - rufffen@gmail.com

суббота, 12 июля 2008 г.

Weekly Charts pack + BUY/SELL Levels

Available for subscribers only. Please download password-protected file via this link.

Password available upon request via email only. Thanks, and apologies for any inconvenience!

пятница, 11 июля 2008 г.

Alpha Beta Fund Ranked N1 @ Coll2.com


Total pips earned exceed 13 000 pips. Rated number one out of all 2500+ FX systems at Coll2.com

Account is up 40%.

Week Results Ending July 11th 2008

In terms of pips we are definitely over 500+ pips per one lot, overall I had a problem with over levereged trade this week on Tuesday and posted a sizable loss, entering with 150+ lots, however Friday LONG trades on EUR USD / GBP USD and SHORTs on EUR JPY USD JPY helped me out and currently Im up almost 50% of the account in a little over 5 weeks with 1:33 leveredge. :)

I will be working hard on improving DD stats, since I need to improve the MM basics in order to get more stable on that side, however I believe that pip-wise the Alpha Beta is outperforming 95% of the Collective2.com service providers.

Trading properly with NN levels this week would yield you over 800+ pips per one lot. NN levels are available exclusively to subscribers of Alpha Beta Fund over weekend a week in advance.

Current track record @ Moneytec is 5000+ pips in a little over 3 months starting March 2008. Collective2.com track record is over 2000+ pips is a little over 5 weeks starting June 2008.

Subscribers get bi-weekly reports, email support, BUY/SELL levels and access to charts across majors + Crude Oil and Spot Gold, upon request.

To subscribe, please visit www.collective2.com/go/alphabetafund

If you are interested in subscribing, please download the following Brochure with the details on teh Signals.

Everyone have a nice weekend and see you next week!

AlphaBeta FAQ updated 11th July 2008

With this week live examples and new charts and updated section on trading the Neural Network levels. Please download password-protected file via this link.

If you are a subscriber and can't get this file, please send me an email @ rufffen@gmail.com. Thank yoU!

New bi-weekly report across majors available for download

Covering EUR USD GBP USD EUR JPY GBP JPY CRUDE OIL SPOT GOLD, download password-protected file here, subscribers only.

вторник, 8 июля 2008 г.

Important update for subscribers - Trading NN levels

I updated Alpha Beta Fund FAQ with tutorials. You will find examples on trade execution, based on Neural Network BUY/SELL levels, which are issued every week across majors and crosses and are available to subscribers before the new trading week commences on Saturday/Sunday.

Download password-protected file here, thank you!

понедельник, 7 июля 2008 г.

Important update for subscribers


Everyone is encouraged to download and install this MT4 indicator, which auto updates the news feed from ForexFactory.Com. All you need to do is UNRAR password-protected file and put it in the Indicators directory of your MT4 install.

Here's a sample screen of the indicator in work. Download link.

воскресенье, 6 июля 2008 г.

четверг, 3 июля 2008 г.

Post NFP July 2008 weekly results update

Weekly Tally > 1000 pips per one lot

So far this week subscribers, who followed my advise on BUY/SELL NN levels, yielded on average + 1000 pips per one lot trading 6 currency pairs.

USD CHF + 200 pips per one lot
EUR USD +200 pips per one lot
GBP USD +100 pips per one lot
EUR JPY +400 pips per one lot
GBP JPY +200 pips per one lot

BUY/SELL levels were available since Sunday to all subscribers.

Not all trades were executed via Coll2.com, since of the margin requirements. However, real live subscriber today made +420 pips before NFP on 4 currency pairs per one lot. I don't make unsubstantiated claims. Statement provided upon request with real live trades executed on live account.

You can subscribe today via shortcut link: www.collective2.com/go/alphabetafund

Signals delivered via IM/email/SMS, subscribers receive weekly reports with buy/sell levels and forecasted reversal days a week in advance. Updated signals posted on Saturday/Sunday.

In July I will try to reduce volume of trade to 3-4 trades per pair per week.

среда, 2 июля 2008 г.

July Results Annual 2008

Collective2.com July 2008 results +22% of the account wth 1:33 leveredge, Compound annual return since inception 1 300%, Max DD <10%.

June was a pretty rangebound month, so a lot fakeouts, I took some losses, which was actually unexpected. In July Ill work on reducing volume of trade setups every week. Currently I base trading decisions mostly on NeuralNets, which generate 2 buy and 2 sell levels every week. I do combine it with the basic TA (sup res, patterns, basic EW setups).

понедельник, 30 июня 2008 г.

EW Basics - Introductory Material

Although I hardly use EW for trading, I do use the basics occasionally. You can download PDF file with basic rules for trading EW. I try to trade Wave 3 / and correction Wave C if at all.

Weekly Reversals PDF download

Download password-protected file here, thank you!

Weekly Charts available for download

Please download RAR password-protected file here

USD weakness reasons and future (PDF DOWNLOAD)

Please download this interesting report here

Whats driving the spot Gold prices higher?


Spot Gold Fueling Growth Across Majors on FX markets

Gold above $920/oz on record oil prices, weaker dollar
LONDON (27 JUne) Gold continued to edge higher above $920 per ounce on Friday following strong gains in the previous session, with oil prices at record levels and weakness in the U.S. dollar boosting the precious metal.
At 9.45 a.m., spot gold was trading at $922.10 per ounce against $913.50 per ounce in late New York trades on Thursday. Gold has risen by around $45 since Wednesday's intraday low.
"The speed of the move and the combination of new highs in crude, renewed dollar weakness and further risk aversion make the risks biased to the upside for now," said UBS analyst John Reade.
With oil prices hitting new record highs above $142 a barrel, and weakness in the U.S. dollar, traders said investors were buying into gold as a hedge against the decline of the world's predominant form of currency reserves, and runaway inflation concerns.
Gold is also used as a store of wealth during times of economic turmoil, with investors turning to the precious metal for its safe-haven properties.
Other precious metals have tracked gold higher. Platinum was trading at $2,079 per ounce against $2,068 per ounce in late New York trades on Thursday. Palladium edged up to $471 per ounce against $468.50 per ounce, while silver climbed to $17.38 per ounce against $17.12 per ounce.

четверг, 19 июня 2008 г.

среда, 18 июня 2008 г.

пятница, 13 июня 2008 г.

Week summary starting June 9th 2008

Weekly report

Ok, we managed to pull out some decent profits, however didn't manage very profitable trades well, mistakes were:

1) Took profits early on USD JPY and GBP CHF
2) Didn't cut losses on EUR USD and AUD USD trades early - otherwise profitable trade EUR USD (+100 pips) went against us and we posted a sizeable loss.

Week total was +425 pips per one lot.

I managed to get the GBP CHF reversal (should have been a +500 pips trade instead of +250, goofed out and took profits early), EUR USD reversal right from the top 5840 and USD JPY reversal this week. I tried to pull out EUR AUD reversal trade, however got stopped out at BE, moved against me 25 pips and then dropped +150 pips my way, oh well, we have to put SL to BE to protect profits - cut losses early and let the profits soar, lesson learned this week.

Just a quick recap for subscribers, there are certain rules, this week I didn't manage to process SL at BE orders via Collective2.com, I will ammend this next week, however rules are:

1) ALWAYS, AT ALL TIME - MOVE SL TO BE ONCE THE TRADE IS TRIGGERED AND MOVE +20 +60 PIPS OUR WAY.
2) NO DISCRETION - DO NOT JUMP OPPORTUNITIES. JUST TRADE THE SIGNALS. I don't come up with the signals impulsively. IT' research, research, backed by neural nets and spectral analysis. No nonsense.
3) WAIT FOR THE SIGNALS TO COME - SOMETIMES WE WILL HAVE NO SIGNALS FOR 2-5 DAYS
4) ASK QUESTIONS - IM ALWAY AVAILABLE VIA EMAIL

And some changes to the Coll2.com services.

I will start trading with multiple on 10 lots, since I have to get the stats up running, I ADVISE YOU TRADE ONLY 1 LOT PER CURRENCY PAIR, UNLESS YOU ARE WILLING TO RISK MORE EQUITY.

Trade setups are coming over this weekend, we have some exciting trading ahead of us next week, keep things positive! :)

понедельник, 2 июня 2008 г.

Monday market update

Pretty slow day today with ranging action, I expect much better results Tuesday and Wednesday, break-outs are possible, please watch pending trades closely.

Remember, BTO order - BUY ORDER. STO order SELL ORDER.

Most orders I issue are pending orders, so that you have time to enter trades. Sometimes there are market orders, however for only 20% of overall setups.

Good potential LONG/BUY setup EUR USD / GBP USD, also pending LONG/BUY trades on EUR JPY and GBP JPY and GBP CHF. Details, see signals.

FAQ trading AlphaBetaFund signals - Part 1

I thought that might be useful for the reference:

Signals are generally issued over weekend across majors. I typically place limit/stop orders and monitor them during the week.

80% of total profits comes from mid-term swing signals.

Most often TP levels are 150-300 pips and SL levels are 30-60 pips,
so that produces 4:1 R/R trades. I don't trade anything below 2:1.

I advise that you start trading with 3-4 pairs, i.e. EUR USD GBP USD EUR JPY GBP JPY,
when your account grows you can then add more currency pairs.

I might issue signals across 6-8 currency pairs, however 70% of profits at Moneytec thread
since March 2008 are from trading EUR USD GBP USD EUR JPY GBP JPY GBP CHF. I can recommend gbp crosses, since I can have a very good accuracy forecasting price action across GBP crosses and returns are very worthy.

The primary idea is that I calculate week high/low and then place pending
BUY/SELL orders. High/low calculation is done via a neural network.

There are intraday signals, i.e. sometimes trades get caught up in ranging action, that's when I have to trade intraday.

However, mostly signals are swing setups and you can get up to 80% weekly profits just be setting up trades beginning of
new trading week.

80% orders are pending, remaining orders are market BUY/SELL orders.

At collective2.com you can recieve signals via IM/SMS/email, notification is very robust.

You can subscribe to AlphaBetaFund signals today and start recieving your weekly signals, please visit the link below to subscribe:

www.collective2.com/go/alphabetafund

Signals Allocation AlphaBetaFund




AlphaBetaFund - Rating Assigned

Ok, today AlphaBetaFund has been assigned with a rating at Collective2.com.

AlphaBetaFund Brochure

You can download a term sheet/brochure on the signals service via this link below, thank you!
http://rapidshare.de/files/39590905/alfabetafund.pdf.html

FAQ on trading signals via Collective2.com

What do the abbreviations BTO, STO, STC, BTC mean?

When you subscribe to a trading system, you will see trading instructions that include these abbreviations. Unlike most brokers, Collective2 specifies whether each order is an opening or closing order. This:

BTO: "Buy To Open" - Buy in order to establish a new long position
STO: "Sell To Open" - Sell short in order to establish a new short position. (For stocks, abbreviation becomes SSHORT).
BTC: "Buy To Close" - Buy in order to cover (close) an already-open short position.
STC: "Sell To Close" - Sell in order to exit and already-open short position.

"I subscribed to a trading system, and I got an email recommending various trades. Can you explain what the terms mean?"

You may get an email which says:

Sell to open 200 IBM @ stop 22.75 - Likely fill at 22.80 at 2:34 pm

This means: "Enter at your broker a trade to Sell Short IBM @ STOP 22.75." (If you do not know the terms "stop order" and "limit order," see this.)

Notice that, when appropriate, Collective2 also tells you what price it expects you to have received, if you entered the order at the exact instant that the system vendor did. (This is what likely fill means).

For more general description of the Trade Signal Email, look at this.

воскресенье, 1 июня 2008 г.

ICQ 5.1 to recieve important updates (subscribers only!)

Please download ICQ version 5.1 via the following link:

http://www.filehippo.com/download_icq/1047

This is important, since I can broadcast messages for subscribers in real time.

AlphaBetaFund - Intro

Here's a direct subscription link to AlphaBetaFund at Collective2.com:

www.collective2.com/go/alphabetafund

You can sign-up today and start recieving signals via email/IM/SMS.